November 2006
9/11 ODDS
Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, contrary to what some people seem to think, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and/or analyze new evidence.
The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in betting terms (and yes, I would bet real money on these if it were possible):
1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: 1,000 to 1
2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: 100 to 1
3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 100 to 1
4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: 100 to 1
5) No conventional plane hit the Pentagon: 50 to 1
6) Pre-planted explosives and outside means such as exotic weaponry caused the total collapses of the WTC twin towers: 100 to 1
7) WTC7 was brought down by controlled demolition of some form: 100 to 1
8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 50 to 1
9) no conventional plane crashed in Shanksville: 100 to 1
10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 100 to 1
11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2 (assuming fllight 175 was a Boeing 767): 1,000 to 1
12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: 1,000 to 1
13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1
14) The air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 1 to 1 (confusing since it's not clear what kind of planes there were that could have been intercepted)
15) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any conventional planes: 10 to 1
16) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any planes at all and were a hoax facilitated by pre-planted explosives, planted plane parts and video fakery: 1 to 1
17) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: 100 to 1
18) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: 100 to 1
Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, contrary to what some people seem to think, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and/or analyze new evidence.
The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in betting terms (and yes, I would bet real money on these if it were possible):
1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: 1,000 to 1
2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: 100 to 1
3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 100 to 1
4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: 100 to 1
5) No conventional plane hit the Pentagon: 50 to 1
6) Pre-planted explosives and outside means such as exotic weaponry caused the total collapses of the WTC twin towers: 100 to 1
7) WTC7 was brought down by controlled demolition of some form: 100 to 1
8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 50 to 1
9) no conventional plane crashed in Shanksville: 100 to 1
10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 100 to 1
11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2 (assuming fllight 175 was a Boeing 767): 1,000 to 1
12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: 1,000 to 1
13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1
14) The air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 1 to 1 (confusing since it's not clear what kind of planes there were that could have been intercepted)
15) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any conventional planes: 10 to 1
16) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any planes at all and were a hoax facilitated by pre-planted explosives, planted plane parts and video fakery: 1 to 1
17) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: 100 to 1
18) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: 100 to 1
posted by spooked at 11:37 AM
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